Stellantis Forecasts 20% Drop in Q3 Shipments to Manage Inventory

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In a strategic move to address inventory concerns, Stellantis has announced an expected 20% decline in its third-quarter consolidated vehicle shipments. This announcement, made on Wednesday, highlights the challenges the automaker is facing in a shifting market landscape, prompting a recent cut to its profit and cash flow forecasts for the year.

Stellantis anticipates global shipments will reach approximately 1.15 million vehicles in Q3, down from 1.43 million during the same period last year. This decision comes in response to increasing inventories, particularly in North America, where the company has historically generated significant profits.

The 20% decrease in shipments is steeper than the previously projected 15% decline in underlying sales for the quarter. Stellantis attributes this disparity to “temporary impacts” related to transitions in its product lineup and ongoing dealer inventory reduction efforts.

North American Market Dynamics

In North America, the company’s primary profit generator, shipments are expected to plummet by 36%, translating to a loss of around 171,000 vehicles. Over 100,000 of these units are tied to planned production cuts in anticipation of new model launches set for late 2024. Despite the drop in shipments, Stellantis has seen its market share in the U.S. increase to 8% by the end of September, while also managing to reduce inventories by 50,000 vehicles compared to the previous quarter.

Impact on European Operations

In its Enlarged Europe region, Stellantis experienced a shipment decline of approximately 100,000 vehicles, or 17%. This reduction was largely due to delays in launching key products, including the Citroen C3, which began shipping in September. These delays have added pressure to the company as it seeks to stabilize its sales performance in a competitive market.

Financial Revisions and Future Outlook

In September, Stellantis made significant adjustments to its financial outlook, lowering its operating profit margin forecast for 2024. The company also revealed it would face cash burn of up to €10 billion ($10.9 billion) this year. To counteract these challenges, Stellantis has committed to reducing production and offering substantial discounts to rejuvenate its U.S. market presence.

As part of its transparency initiative, Stellantis plans to publish global quarterly shipment estimates moving forward, alongside commentary on prevailing business trends. This move is aimed at providing stakeholders with clearer insights into the company’s operations and market strategies.

Maserati’s Struggles

Additionally, Stellantis reported that third-quarter deliveries for its luxury brand, Maserati, are projected to decline sharply by 60%, falling to just 2,100 vehicles. This significant drop underscores the broader challenges the automotive group is facing as it strives to navigate a rapidly evolving marketplace.

Conclusion

As Stellantis prepares to report its third-quarter shipment and sales data on October 31, the automotive giant is clearly taking proactive steps to manage its inventory and address market dynamics. The decisions being made today will be crucial in shaping the company’s future and its ability to compete effectively in the global automotive landscape.

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